Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below Disclaimer
In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of November 2020.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 1st, 9-11th, 26th, 21th, 23th, 26th November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:
(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )
You can read about our methodology here.
Disclaimer
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