NEW ZEALAND: FDL Method, January 2020

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see New Zealand Stress Calendar for the period of January 2020.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in New Zealand on 1st, 4th, 12th, 17th and 28th January 2020 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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