Sunday, September 29, 2019

PERU: FDL Method, October 2019

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Peru Stress Calendar for the period of October 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Peru on  1st, 5th, 13th, 19th, 26th and 29th October 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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