Monday, December 31, 2018

6.1R in Alaska


A 6.1R earthquake was reported in Alaska early this morning at the location shown on the map. The epicenter was 273km from Akutan.

MagnitudeMw 6.1
RegionALASKA PENINSULA
Date time2018-12-31 02:35:39.2 UTC
Location54.58 N ; 161.65 W
Depth40 km
Distances2681 km NW of Vancouver, Canada / pop: 1,838,000 / local time: 18:35:39.2 2018-12-30
273 km E of Akutan, United States / pop: 1,100 / local time: 17:35:39.2 2018-12-30

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Saturday, December 29, 2018

FDL Method: 30th December vulnerable regions

Using our FDL research  prediction method calendars, we see that the following countries, are candidates and maybe vulnerable to receiving earthquakes tomorrow 30th December 2018. The list is not conclusive of course as we sample a few countries.


  • Chile
  • Ecuador
  • Fiji
  • Indonesia
  • Iran
  • Italy
  • Pakistan/Afghanistan
  • Solomon Islands
  • Tonga
[I hope you can install our new free ANDROID app for receiving early warning of our posts in this blog. ]



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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7.0R in Philippines

A 7.0R Earthquake has been reported this morning in Philippines79Km from Pondaguitan.  trong jolts were felt on Sangihe and Talaud islands, North Sulawesi, following a 7.1- magnitude earthquake in Philippine waters, according to the National Disaster Mitigation Agency (BNPB).
The earthquake was strongly felt on Sangihe Island for six seconds and moderately on Talaud Island for four to five seconds.
“People came out of their houses immediately to find safe places. In Manado, the shocks were weak and only for two seconds,” BNPB spokesman Sutopo Purwo Nugroho said in a statement on Saturday.

“There have been no reports of casualties or building damage due to the earthquake. We are is still carrying out data collection,” he added.
Previously, the United States National Weather Service's Pacific Tsunami Warning Center issued an early tsunami warning. However, the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) did not issue the warning because it estimated that the earthquake had no tsunami potential.
The US warning stated that tsunami waves were possible for coasts located within 300 kilometers of the earthquake’s epicenter.
Mindanao is 201 km from Talaud and 288 km from Sangihe, North Sulawesi.
“People have been urged to remain calm and not be misled. In Indonesia, the official referral institution related to early tsunami warnings is the BMKG. Therefore, use all information from the BMKG,” he said.
Rachmat Triyono, head of the tsunami and earthquake division at the BMKG, said the earthquake would not trigger a tsunami.
“Sangihe and Talaud islands residents have been called on to remain calm,” he said in a statement, Saturday.

https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2018/12/29/mindanao-earthquake-felt-in-northern-sulawesi-bnpb.html

MagnitudeMw 7.0
RegionMINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time2018-12-29 03:39:10.0 UTC
Location5.99 N ; 126.79 E
Depth60 km
Distances177 km SE of Davao, Philippines / pop: 1,213,000 / local time: 11:39:10.0 2018-12-29
124 km SE of Mati, Philippines / pop: 106,000 / local time: 11:39:10.0 2018-12-29
79 km SE of Pondaguitan, Philippines / pop: 2,200 / local time: 11:39:10.0 2018-12-29

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Tuesday, December 25, 2018

4.8R in Ionian Sea, Greece

A 4.8R earthquake was reported this morning 36km South of Leefkada in the Ionian Sea in Greece at the location shown, early this monring. We expected this more like yesterday but it is only 1 hour late.


Magnitudemb 4.8
RegionIONIAN SEA
Date time2018-12-25 01:41:27.3 UTC
Location37.39 N ; 20.82 E
Depth10 km
Distances264 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 730,000 / local time: 03:41:27.3 2018-12-25
124 km SW of Pátra, Greece / pop: 164,000 / local time: 03:41:27.3 2018-12-25
45 km S of Zákynthos, Greece / pop: 11,600 / local time: 03:41:27.3 2018-12-25
36 km S of Lithakiá, Greece / pop: 1,300 / local time: 03:41:27.3 2018-12-25

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Monday, December 24, 2018

5.6R in Japan <--As predicted


A strong 5.6R earthquake has been reported in Japan Our calendar is shown below with a fair peak on 24th Dec.



MagnitudeMw 5.6
RegionOFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Date time2018-12-24 00:18:06.8 UTC
Location34.08 N ; 141.77 E
Depth15 km
Distances247 km SE of Kawasaki, Japan / pop: 1,307,000 / local time: 09:18:06.8 2018-12-24
178 km SE of Katsuura, Japan / pop: 22,400 / local time: 09:18:06.8 2018-12-24

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Friday, December 21, 2018

5.9R in Papua New Guinea




This 5.9R earthquake was reported this morning in Papua New Guinea. We examine the calendar for the region and here is what one can do. This has been observed on many occasions before.When the frequency bars drop and we can fit a straight line this can be seen as winding (coiling) a spring. In the lowest date often unwinds to an earthquake as you can see by the arrows. The arrow on 26th December is a on a low date between two highs. This date is also very vulnerable. On 30th also we could have an event as it drops quickly to zero.

MagnitudeMw 5.9
RegionNEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.
Date time2018-12-21 06:33:52.8 UTC
Location5.45 S ; 151.99 E
Depth10 km
Distances691 km NE of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea / pop: 284,000 / local time: 16:33:52.8 2018-12-21
125 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea / pop: 26,300 / local time: 16:33:52.8 2018-12-21





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Thursday, December 20, 2018

7.4R predicted both ways


The 7.4R in KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION was not only predicted by the Kamchatka Calendar, but also by our Global Calendar as shown below. You can see on 20th December we have a very strong peak. So here we have a prediction coming both ways, and this is why we have the best method in the world in my opinion.




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7.4R in Komandorskiye Ostrova Region <--As Predicted


A powerful 7.4R in the region of Kamchatka has been reported as shown in the map above. We again have predicted the event since we published the respective calendar.



MagnitudeMw 7.4
RegionKOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
Date time2018-12-20 17:01:54.3 UTC
Location55.07 N ; 164.77 E
Depth10 km
Distances2153 km NE of Sapporo-shi, Japan / pop: 1,884,000 / local time: 02:01:54.3 2018-12-21
460 km NE of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russian Federation / pop: 188,000 / local time: 05:01:54.3 2018-12-21
395 km E of Esso, Russian Federation / pop: 2,000 / local time: 05:01:54.3 2018-12-21

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Winter Solstice 2018 Coincides With Both A Full Moon And Meteor Shower


The winter solstice, falling on December 21, 2018, will mark the shortest day of the year as well as a full moon in the night sky. The upcoming full moon named the Cold Moon or the Long Night Moon will be visible during the longest night of the year.
The two events don't perfectly align. The peak full Moon will occur on December 22 at 12:49 p.m. EST while the winter solstice falls a day earlier on December 21. However, to the typical person viewing the moon, it will appear full for several days.
The winter solstice marks a transition period where days begin getting longer in the Northern Hemisphere and shorter in the Southern Hemisphere. The evening of the winter solstice will be the longest of the year for the Northern Hemisphere. This is because Earth's poles create a maximum tilt away from the Sun in the Northern Hemisphere and maximum tilt toward the Sun in the Southern Hemisphere.
 

 The four photos above display how the Sun hits Earth on the winter solstice, the summer solstice and the two middle transition points. The tilt of the Earth causes the Northern Hemisphere of Earth to receive less sunlight during the winter solstice than the Southern Hemisphere.
The 2018 winter solstice will be accompanied by what NASA notes as the Cold Moon or the Long Night Moon. The names originate from the Native Americans, who marked December's full Moon as the beginning of the coldest part of the year. Also, the Long Night Moon is named after the longest night of the year on the winter solstice.
How often do these events coincide, where the winter solstice is adorned by a full moon? The last time it occurred was in 2010 and the next event will not be until 2094. On December 21 you will also be able to see Mercury and Jupiter in conjunction in the long night sky. On top of all that, the Ursid meteor shower will peak on the nights of December 21 and 22, adding shooting starts to the mix.
A full moon over Earth captured aboard the International Space Station.NASA
Don't miss the opportunity to look up into the night sky on this winter solstice and revel in the grandeur of the full moon and the Ursid meteor shower..

By Trevor Nace who is a PhD geologist, founder of Science Trends, Forbes contributor, and explorer. Follow his journey @trevornace.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/trevornace/2018/12/18/winter-solstice-2018-coincides-with-both-a-full-moon-and-meteor-shower/#6272631352e6 
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Papua New Guinea: Earthquake Predictions for December 2018

Based on our published research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Papua New Guinea Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2018.

For this period we can observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake >4R in Papua New Guinea on 16-17th, 25th and 27th December  other dates in December 2018 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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Tuesday, December 18, 2018

5.0R in Vanuatu <--As Expected



A 5.0R earthquake in Vanuatu has been reported this morning. The calendar below shows our expectation.



Magnitudemb 5.0
RegionVANUATU
Date time2018-12-18 05:27:48.5 UTC
Location16.26 S ; 167.87 E
Depth35 km
Distances170 km N of Port-Vila, Vanuatu / pop: 36,000 / local time: 16:27:48.5 2018-12-18
110 km SE of Luganville, Vanuatu / pop: 13,400 / local time: 16:27:48.5 2018-12-18
56 km SE of Norsup, Vanuatu / pop: 3,000 / local time: 16:27:48.5 2018-12-18

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Monday, December 17, 2018

5.5R in New Britain Region, Papua new Guinea <----As predicted


A 5.5R the strongest event of the day has been registered in Papua New Guinea at the location shown on the map. We were expecting it as can be seen by the PNG calendar for December.




Magnitudemb 5.5
RegionNEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.
Date time2018-12-17 11:14:25.2 UTC
Location5.04 S ; 152.35 E
Depth80 km
Distances750 km NE of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea / pop: 284,000 / local time: 21:14:25.2 2018-12-17
77 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea / pop: 26,300 / local time: 21:14:25.2 2018-12-17

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Sunday, December 16, 2018

6.2R in Papua, INDONESIA <---As Predicted


This 6.2R earthquake was reported today right at the border between Indonesia and Papua newGuinea. As can be seen from the PNG calendar as well as from the Indonesia Calendar we were expecting this today.


MagnitudeMw 6.2
RegionPAPUA, INDONESIA
Date time2018-12-16 09:42:38.5 UTC
Location3.91 S ; 140.28 E
Depth80 km
Distances978 km NW of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea / pop: 284,000 / local time: 19:42:38.5 2018-12-16
159 km S of Jayapura, Indonesia / pop: 135,000 / local time: 18:42:38.5 2018-12-16
145 km S of Abepura, Indonesia / pop: 62,300 / local time: 18:42:38.5 2018-12-16

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