Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.
In the following diagram we can see New Zealand Earthquake Predictions for the period of April 2017.
For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake >4R in New Zealand on April 4th, 6th 10th 18th and 29th April 2017, other dates in are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)
You can read about our methodology here.
Diclaimer
Region intensity light
ReplyDeleteNZST Tue, Apr 4 2017, 2:58:00 am
Depth 9 km
Magnitude 4.3
Location 25 km north of Kaikoura
Region intensity strong
ReplyDeleteNZST Thu, Apr 6 2017, 9:42:49 pm
Depth 11 km
Magnitude 5.0
Location 10 km east of Seddon
NZST Fri, Apr 7 2017, 7:23:23 pm
ReplyDeleteDepth 10 km
Magnitude 4.6
Location 40 km south-west of Seddon
Region intensity
ReplyDeleteRegion Intensity
The maximum calculated intensity felt in the New Zealand region. The intensity will vary through the region. Local site conditions or proximity to the earthquake could make the experienced intensity higher than this.
light
NZST Fri, Apr 7 2017, 11:14:09 pm
Depth 24 km
Magnitude 3.9
Location 10 km north-west of Gisborne
both in 3 day window for April 10
ReplyDeleteNZST Sun, Apr 9 2017, 10:57:59 pm
Depth 14 km
Magnitude 4.8
Location 45 km south of Martinborough
Region intensity moderate
NZST Sun, Apr 9 2017, 11:30:15 pm
Depth 13 km
Magnitude 4.5
Location 30 km south-west of Wellington