Wednesday, November 30, 2016

ITALY: Earthquake Predictions for December 2016

It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the peak dates in the charts.
In the following diagram we can see for Italy the Earthquake predictions for December 2016.
For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM*- probability to have an earthquake about >4.5 R in the region of Italy on 1st 14th 18th and 28th December  and smaller on other dates as shown below:

The probability Scales are as follows: *SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)






You can read our methodology here



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