Thursday, December 31, 2015

Papua New Guinea: Earthquake Predictions up to 10th January 2016.




It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 
In the following diagram we can see Papua New Guinea Earthquake predictions for the period of  December 2015.
For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake >5R in the region of Papua New Guinea. See the peaks in the diagram -  The key dates for earthquake events are: 2nd 5th and stronger on 8yh January 2016.


The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)



You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer
 
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