Thursday, December 10, 2015

Papua New Guinea: Earthquake Prediction for 10th to 20th December


It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 

In the following diagram we can see Papua New Guinea Earthquake predictions for the period between December 10th to 20th.

For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake >5R in the region of Papua New Guinea. See the peaks in the diagram -  The key dates for earthquake events are: 14th and 16th and 20th December 2015.


The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)


You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer


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