Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Papua New Guinea: Earthquake Prediction for the first 10 days in December

It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 

In the following diagram we can see Papua New Guinea Earthquake predictions for the period between December 1st to 10th.

For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake >5R in the region of Papua New Guinea. See the peaks in the diagram -  The key dates for earthquake events are: 2nd and 10th December 2015.

The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)



You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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