Tuesday, December 1, 2015

New Zealand: Earthquake Prediction for the first 10 days of December

2013 Sky Tower Panorama

It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 

In the following diagram we can see New Zealand Earthquake predictions for the period between December 1st to 10th.

For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake >4R in the region of New Zealand. The key dates for earthquake event are:
  3rd, 7th and 8th December 2015.

The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)

You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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