Wednesday, December 2, 2015

California: Earthquake predictions for the first 10 days of December


 

It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 

In the following diagram we can see California Earthquake predictions for the period between December 1st and 10th.

For this period we observe in the following diagram that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake >4R in the region of California on 2nd December. 


The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)



You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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