Bosphorus Earthquake predictions between 10th-20th of December

Boğaziçi Deprem tahminler



It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 

In the following diagram we can see Bosphorus Region Earthquake predictions for the period  10-20th December.

For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake about 4R in the region of Bosphorus on 12th and 19th, December. See the peaks in the diagram - The key date for earthquake events are:
  12th  and 19th December 2015.

The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)

You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer