Thursday, December 31, 2015

Bosphorus Earthquake Predictions up to 10th January 2016


Boğaziçi Deprem tahminler
It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 
In the following diagram we can see Bosphorus Region Earthquake predictions for the period up to 10th January 2016.
For this period we observe that there is a SMALL* probability to have an earthquake about 4R in the region of Bosphorus on 7th and 10th January 2016.
The probability Scales are as follows: *SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)


You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer

 
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